Valentine’s Day By the Numbers

Love is in the Air…and in the Cash Registers

According to a few forecasters, Valentine’s Day spending is on the upswing.  Does that mean we are feeling more romantic in 2011, or just wealthier?

Both the National Retail Federation (NRF) and IBISWorld predict that spending for Valentine’s Day will increase this year.  The NRF forecasts that the average person will spend $116.21 on traditional Valentine’s Day merchandise in 2011, up 12.8 percent over last year’s $103.00, with total holiday spending expected to reach $15.7 billion.   IBISWorld  is even more optimistic, forecasting that holiday spending will top $18.6 billion, which amounts to about $125 per person. The NRF also points out that men will spend the most on Valentine’s Day gifts, with the average man planning to spend twice as much ($158.71) as the average woman ($75.79).

Sweets for Your Sweet?

In surprising news to anyone who has walked through a drugstore or supermarket the day after Christmas and spotted aisles full of Valentine’s Day treats, Mintel is forecasting that Valentine’s Day chocolate sales will be down for a third consecutive year in 2011.  In fact, Mintel estimates a continued decline through 2015,  anticipating that the $285 million market will decrease to $233 million by 2015.  But, both the NRF and IBISWorld are seeing a rise in jewelry sales for the holiday.   Good news for those who prefer sparkly to sweet!

In Keeping With Tradition

According to the Worcester Historical Museum, for nearly 100 years Worcester was the center of the commercial valentine industry in the United States. In 1879, Worcester resident Esther Rowland (widely credited with being the first American to manufacture valentines) joined forces with Edward Taft to form the New England Valentine Company.  What had started as a home-based enterprise grew into a business that grossed $100,000 in annual sales.  Today, the Valentine’s Day card industry is thriving.  The Greeting Card Association estimates that 160 million greeting cards will be purchased for Valentine’s Day this year. We wonder what Esther would think about that?

The staff of the Bentley Library wishes you all a Happy Valentine’s Day!

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Sources consulted:
American Antiquarian Society. (2001, January 25). Making Valentines: A Tradition in America – Esther Howland. Retrieved from http://www.americanantiquarian.org/Exhibitions/Valentines/howland.htm
Greeting Card Association. (2011, February 2). Greeting Card Sales Expected to Rise for Valentine’s Day 2011. Retrieved from http://www.greetingcard.org/AbouttheIndustry/IndustryNews/tabid/100/CBModuleId/446/ArticleID/48/Default.aspx
IBISWorld Media Center http://www.ibisworld.com/mediacenter/
Mintel Group. (2010, August). Seasonal Chocolate – US. Retrieved from Mintel Oxygen database.
National Retail Federation (2011, January 27). Love is in the Air This Valentine’s Day, According to NRF. Retrieved from http://www.nrf.com/modules.php?name=News&op=viewlive&sp_id=1075
Worcester Historical Museum (n.d.). Worcester’s Own – Valentines.  Retrieved from: http://www.worcesterhistory.org/wo-valentines.html

Valentine’s Day Facts & Figures

Heart-shaped boxes of chocolate, red roses, romantic dinners and poetic greeting cards are just a few of the ways millions of Americans will be celebrating Valentine’s Day this Sunday.  Here are some interesting Valentine’s Day facts from a few of the library’s databases and some other industry experts:

Sales are Looking Rosy

In 2009, a Mintel consumer survey found that the average per-person expenditure for Valentine’s Day was $102.50. 1 According to industry research firm IBISWorld, total Valentine’s Day spending (measured for seven categories – Dining Out, Romantic Getaway, Greeting Cards, Clothing & Intimate Apparel, Candy, Jewelry, Flowers) is anticipated to increase 3.3% over last year to $17.6 billion dollars this year. 2

Please Mr. Postman

Although Valentine’s Day cards date back to the 1400s in Europe, Massachusetts native Esther Howland can be credited with being the first American publisher of Valentine cards in the 1840s.  Her paper lace cards fetched from $5 to $10 (and you thought today’s greeting cards were expensive)! 3 According to the Greeting Card Association, Valentine’s Day is now the second most popular card-giving occasion (after Christmas), with an estimated 190 million Valentine’s Days cards being exchanged this year (over 1 billion if you count school-children’s classroom Valentine exchanges). 4

Love is Sweet

Candy conversation hearts galore!  According to market research firm Mintel, the National Retail Foundation reports that after cards (58%), candy is the top Valentine’s Day gift (48%).  In fact, in 2007, Valentine’s Day candy sales reached $83 million.5 The U.S. Census reports that the per capita candy consumption by Americans in 2008 was 23.8 pounds. 6 (This fact is not surprising, considering how quickly our office candy bowl gets emptied!)

Happy Valentine’s Day from the Staff of the Bentley Library!

[1] “Holiday Shopping – US – June 2009″. Mintel Oxygen database. 2009. Web. 11 Feb. 2010. <http://academic.mintel.com>
[2] “Valentine’s Day Sales Shift From Retail To Restaurants”. IBISWorld Press Release. 1 Feb. 2010. Web. 11 Feb. 2010. <http://www.ibisworld.com/pressrelease/pressrelease.aspx?prid=214>.
[3]  “A Brief History of Valentine’s Day Cards”. Greeting Card Association Press Release.  n.d.  Web. 11 Feb. 2010. <http://www.greetingcard.org/userfiles/file/V%20Day%20history10.pdf>.
[4] “Americans and Valentine’s Day”.  Greeting Card Association Press Release. n.d. Web. 11 Feb. 2010. <http://www.greetingcard.org/userfiles/file/2010%20Valentines%20Day.pdf>.
[5] “Holiday Shopping – US – June 2009″. Mintel Oxygen database. 2009. Web. 11 Feb. 2010. <http://academic.mintel.com>.
[6] “Facts for Features – Valentine’s Day 2010: Feb. 14″. U.S. Census Press Release. 15 Dec. 2009. Web. 11 Feb. 2010. <http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/releases/archives/facts_for_features_special_editions/014493.html>.